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Equities to open lower on global weakness (The Economic Times 21th Jan 2008)Equities are likely to remain under pressure following weakness in the global markets on fear of recession in the US economy. US stocks tumbled on Friday on worry that a White House effort to boost the economy may not prevent a recession. Stocks erased earlier gains after President Bush said a government plan to stimulate the economy should be about 1 per cent of gross domestic product, or as much as $150 billion. Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 60 points or 0.49 per cent at 12,099.30, the Standards & Poors 500 Index shed 8 points or 0.6 per cent at 1,325.19 and the Nasdaq Composite Index lost 6 points or 0.29 per cent to 2,340.02. More
Technical Outlook: Nifty to test the sanctity of the bull run (The Economic Times 21th Jan 2008)The previous Fridays' relief rally was not sustainable. Last Monday, the Nifty made a small consolidation for the big fall. On Tuesday and Wednesday, the Nifty nose-dived and took a pause on Thursday. On Friday, the downtrend continued further. The Nifty opened at 6208.80 and made a high of 6246.45. The Nifty closed at 5705.30, losing almost 8 per cent on a weekly closing basis. (Biggest weekly fall after the week ended on 19/05/2006). The Nifty made low of 5677 during the last week. FII's selling in a big way led the fall. Global weakness due to the fear of US recession, added the salt to the wounds. The fall was steep and volumes were on higher side. However, the Nifty January futures closed with 18 points premium to the spot Nifty. Rationale: The Nifty witnessed a fifth correction of the rally, which started since August 2007. All the previous falls were within the range of 8.8 per cent to 11.60 per cent from the relevant peak. This is the fifth fall with the loss of 10.7 per cent from the all time high. On assuming Nifty's bull trend is intact, the fall may get arrested from within the range of another 1-1.5 per cent from last Friday's closing. If the fall extends, the sanctity of the bull rally might come under question. More

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